Finance for Geeks (Fri Nov 8, lect 18) | previous | next | slides |

Fundamentals of the financial plan

Logistics

  • Small change in weekly status report: put students’ names in!
  • You are not to scan the qr code if you are not physically present in the classroom

Financial Planning and Modeling

  • Life blood of a business are resources
  • You consume resources and you generate value
  • Remember Gazintas > Gazoutas
  • Quick review of very basic financial modeling
  • Recall Marketing vs. Sales

Why do we do this?

  • To understand where we are spending our money
  • To match our spending with our objectives
  • To make sure we don’t ‘run out of gas’
  • Or, to start looking for a gas station before its too late
  • Examples of what the CFO does

Basic terms and Metrics

  • Unit
    • Unit Sales Price
    • Unit Product Cost
    • Units sold
  • Revenue related
    • Revenue (what you actually have taken in)
    • Bookings (what you have sold)
  • COGS related
    • Cost of Goods Sold (What can be ascribed to a specific unit sold)
    • Other Variable Expenses
  • Margin (profits, earnings)
    • Operating Margin (profits)
    • Gross Margin (Revenue - COGS)
  • OPEX Related (All the other operating expenses)
    • Marketing Expense
    • Salaries and Benefits
    • Fixed Costs
  • Cash
    • Financing (Money that investors put in)
    • Cash Balance
  • Profit Related
    • Financing (Money that investors put in)
    • Net Income (Profit)
    • Cash Balance

Units

  • How many x for every y time
  • Number of diners
  • Number of cars
  • Number of subscriptions
  • Revenue vs. Bookings
  • Revenue: actual money collected
  • Bookings: contractually obligated, but not collected
  • Computed as units x price

Costs

  • Fixed – Cost you have to get to the first ‘thing’
  • Variable – Relative to some independent variable
  • Division is not always clear cut, it depends

Fixed Costs

  • People/Salaries are often the top costs in our world
  • Rent, Utilities, Insurance, etc. are also fixed costs
  • Legal, Accounting, etc. are also fixed costs
  • Equipment/Services etc

Variable Costs

  • Relative to what independent variable?
  • Sales Expense (salaries)
  • Raw Materials
  • Marketing expenses?

COGS

  • Any costs that can reasoably be tied to the number of units sold
  • Sometimes crystal clear, sometimes not

Margin

  • Margin aka profit, earnings
  • Usually profit = sales - costs
  • Gross Profit Margin and Operating Profit Margin are two metrics used to measure a company’s profitability.
  • Gross profit margin only figures in the direct costs involved in production
  • Operating profit margin includes operating expenses like overhead.

OPEX

  • Operating expenses
  • Overhead
  • Not directly related to units sold
  • Rent, HR staff, Legal staff, etc.

Cash

  • Incoming cash: invesstments, accounts receivables
  • Outgoing cash: accounts payables, interest payments etc
  • Cash Balance: actual cash on hand
  • Cash is king

Milestone Based planning

  • Investors want to see milestones
  • “How far will this money take us?”
  • Milestones also focus the team on what’s important
  • Milestones are a way to communicate progress

Typical Milestones

  • Product/Market fit
    • How do you know you have it?
    • What’s the metric you will use?
    • e.g. of 50 customers I talked to 20 of them are
  • Trial/Beta phase
    • 10 customers using the product in free or beta mode
    • Asking for features
    • Giving feedback
  • Revenue Traction
    • 10 paying customers

Each Milestone may have separate variables

  • Marketing expenses (and people)
  • Development expenses (and people)
  • Support expenses (and people)
  • Sales expenses (and people)

Thank you. Questions?  (random Image from picsum.photos)